World Politics · resolved market
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa971a962af0ae201ef71e5c23619b105c9b7babb3cc981284347f831330029e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 54c | 4,469$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.37 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 16c | 2,900$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed Yes | 2c | 2,747$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,386$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 46c | 1,973$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.35 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 1,800$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 40c | 1,713$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.11 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,639$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.05 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,518$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 20c | 1,479$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.97 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 53c | 1,422$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 20c | 1,308$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.23 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 1,296$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c0…2713backed No | 31c | 1,293$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +169.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 49c | 1,280$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,257$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 48c | 1,132$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.89 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes | 10c | 1,087$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,029$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,009$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…4873backed Yes | 70c | 857.69$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…17a6backed Yes | 75c | 834.43$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.98 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 68c | 771.19$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.13 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 50c | 743.37$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.09 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…1773backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 41c | 691.08$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.87 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes | 76c | 653.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…40c4backed Yes | 79c | 635.21$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 24c | 537.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.65 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 53c | 508.35$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.95 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked No | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 21c | 499.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…ba69backed Yes | 79c | 457.18$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 6c | 424.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 77c | 407.35$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 10c | 365$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…3408backed No | 53c | 332.4$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed Yes | 65c | 326.9$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.35 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 45c | 311.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d4…9002backed No | 33c | 304.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 289.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf34…dc86backed Yes | 59c | 287.51$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed No | 47c | 284.23$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf03…9db4backed Yes | 78c | 257.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…d417backed Yes | 9c | 231.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…2e45backed Yes | 53c | 226.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 6c | 225.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 7c | 220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf65…d214backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 19c | 191.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd0…67b0backed Yes | 56c | 177.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…50c3backed No | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 52c | 162.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 43c | 161.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 30c | 160.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed No | 62c | 156.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 33c | 144.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 48c | 141.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 34c | 141.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…ee47backed Yes | 8c | 139.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…9925backed No | 64c | 135$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 21c | 135$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…d51abacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 25c | 128.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 35c | 121.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 57c | 120.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…740fbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…4cf4backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 22c | 109.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96d…a747backed No | 46c | 107.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6751…2d87backed Yes | 50c | 106.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…d719backed No | 21c | 100.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +45%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…27ffbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2b…b548backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6e…9244backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…8c25backed No | 48c | 95.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 47c | 94.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…4258backed No | 57c | 94.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed No | 63c | 78.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 47c | 75.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 20c | 72.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…2e90backed No | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…8e0bbacked No | 45c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed Yes | 61c | 64.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 62c | 60.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e0…4ca5backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…a10dbacked Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…45c6backed No | 76c | 59.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed Yes | 52c | 56.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7010…eedebacked No | 46c | 55.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3566…10febacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.