Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2ba1befee333e3e30bb23d6305e179a44db67be12d5230223065ca10246d0ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 73c | 3,838$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.44 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…cbf5backed Yes | 28c | 3,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 67c | 2,062$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.94 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed Yes | 36c | 1,682$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.67 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 73c | 1,410$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.1 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 65c | 983.88$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.24 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 883.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 73c | 870.86$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.13 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 53c | 674$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.56 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…cb3abacked Yes | 36c | 555.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…63f4backed Yes | 38c | 528.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 28c | 424.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 34c | 420.63$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 400$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 72c | 326.46$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…2e65backed Yes | 37c | 320.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…18f6backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 73c | 270.71$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 5c | 261$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 116 | 11.2%13 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 17c | 247.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01f2…4889backed Yes | 43c | 234.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…3179backed Yes | 18c | 189.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…9722backed No | 77c | 175$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 170$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 24c | 165.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 142.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Yes | 35c | 134.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3405…30edbacked Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…bc21backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2a83backed Yes | 25c | 80.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 59c | 76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 38c | 75.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Yes | 35c | 65.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 21c | 65.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1212…2912backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 59c | 59.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes | 34c | 58.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 63c | 58.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…a81bbacked Yes | 30c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…5260backed Yes | 33c | 57.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…8c4ebacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 70c | 49.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes | 30c | 47.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 38.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…843fbacked Yes | 38c | 36.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4766…8092backed No | 77c | 35.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 29c | 35.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 33c | 33.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8a…9022backed Yes | 31c | 33.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 33.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…db0abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 71c | 30.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 76c | 26.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 72c | 23.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 79c | 12.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?this page
- Will Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Iran be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Saudi Arabia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.