Will Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x651826b5d1e475945166c98a726ecb03d986120ecf8ba4a673e3f4d3a1a3f00b

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,570 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes	46c	7,965$3,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,684.34	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	53c	5,794$3,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,708.81	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	54c	1,713$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.82	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	68c	1,681$1,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.26	198	25.3%50 W · 148 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	40c	1,662$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.73	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	48c	1,018$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.54	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3752…9d56backed Yes	55c	1,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed No	49c	814.6$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.83	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	55c	531$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.08	285	54.4%155 W · 130 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	42c	441$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.21	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes	44c	425.06$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.77	272	55.9%152 W · 120 L	+36.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No	55c	337.49$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.32	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	7c	336.9$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.49	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	58c	332.51$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.11	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	52c	320.06$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.8	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed Yes	34c	319.73$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.25	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-31%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	56c	318.27$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.94	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	48c	304.83$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.59	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No	57c	299.69$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.94	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No	53c	292.15$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.59	361	39.1%141 W · 220 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed No	72c	275$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	72c	270$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.62	282	56.7%160 W · 122 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe555…573abacked No	65c	261.37$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.81	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	49c	246.41$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.24	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	46c	236.95$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	78c	229.27$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.36	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5d…d1adbacked Yes	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes	47c	199.99$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.99	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes	17c	184.6$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.02	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes	11c	180.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	47c	161.1$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.72	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	60c	160.76$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.48	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	54c	160.57$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.86	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5219…9781backed Yes	45c	156.22$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	58c	142.22$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.8	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	44c	139.91$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.28	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-11.5wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	46c	134.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.1	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes	47c	133$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.51	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No	53c	130.87$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.51	127	35.4%45 W · 82 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	20c	127.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.15	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	57c	119.6$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	43	14%6 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+41%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4f…728abacked Yes	31c	118.06$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.94	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-33%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd436…16d1backed Yes	46c	109.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0255…4eb0backed Yes	22c	100.9$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	122	63.9%78 W · 44 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4e…8e54backed Yes	30c	100.61$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	104	61.5%64 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed No	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc406…6ba7backed Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed No	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.5	83	56.6%47 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x154e…911fbacked No	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.33	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+7.7wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb743…da92backed Yes	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked No	70c	100$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.5	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	77c	98.65$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.43	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1c…1ec7backed No	59c	95.89$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.19	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51f…912cbacked Yes	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	72c	77.23$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.51	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc339…828cbacked Yes	39c	76.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	19c	75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Yes	14c	73.94$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	38c	69$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.49	219	58%127 W · 92 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…db44backed No	53c	67.32$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.64	197	60.4%119 W · 78 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4682…de69backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3f2…cc18backed Yes	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed No	48c	61.36$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.11	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No	55c	60.9$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.42	121	50.4%61 W · 60 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No	53c	58$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.26	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x696a…1afebacked Yes	52c	57.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	70c	54.99$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	57c	52.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.93	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ed…18f6backed Yes	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	70c	49.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No	53c	49.94$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.47	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	49c	48.23$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.42	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a5f…2c0cbacked Yes	48c	45.83$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3487…2273backed Yes	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe450…91b9backed Yes	31c	38.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.92	54	70.4%38 W · 16 L	+7.8wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	55c	37.48$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.87	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	34c	35$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No	62c	34$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.06	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	44c	33.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.95	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	47c	33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.51	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1abe…1ddabacked Yes	46c	32.62$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	123	39%48 W · 75 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No	46c	32.26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.34	332	37.3%124 W · 208 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No	52c	31.2$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.97	340	35%119 W · 221 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked No	77c	31$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.09	226	23.5%53 W · 173 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe38a…3dd4backed No	71c	29.99$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb0…766abacked No	60c	27$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes	42c	25.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked No	54c	24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.04	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.14per pick	59cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No	61c	23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.89	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No	53c	20.68$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.72	73	68.5%50 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No	70c	16.94$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.01	335	38.8%130 W · 205 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?this page
Will Iran be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?No won
Will Iraq be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?No won
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?Yes won
Will Saudi Arabia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?No won
Will South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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