World Politics · resolved market
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc02886e2161b78960364c1740fad9241c359b05a74c205935bb2acaf8580a4e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 36c | 2,020$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.42 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 55c | 1,644$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.16 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 51c | 1,025$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed No | 64c | 1,016$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 40c | 809.67$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.73 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 37c | 562.17$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.51 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…e3c1backed No | 51c | 529.41$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked No | 47c | 514.91$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.07 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed No | 62c | 503.24$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked No | 59c | 431.92$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.75 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 52c | 409.04$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.21 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 39c | 400$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 77c | 363.26$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 345.17$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…6721backed Yes | 49c | 338.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 35c | 321.14$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed No | 62c | 311.31$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 47c | 301.6$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.94 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Yes | 47c | 267.67$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 34c | 266.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b088backed Yes | 25c | 247.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…55a1backed Yes | 58c | 236.67$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…f2fabacked Yes | 22c | 227.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 211.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…7132backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd7…6d2dbacked Yes | 25c | 204$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…e937backed No | 54c | 195.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…69b7backed Yes | 51c | 174.09$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 49c | 163.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 18c | 163.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.25 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 63c | 159.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 12c | 151$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…c200backed No | 20c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 17c | 142.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 52c | 142$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 25c | 139.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…93bcbacked Yes | 19c | 135.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +274.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 127$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 24c | 123.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 113.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 64c | 112$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 48c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 101.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…d430backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d96backed Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 51c | 96.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e0…c1bbbacked No | 59c | 92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 52c | 90.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 55c | 89.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 57c | 88.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 40c | 87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 23c | 84.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 40c | 80.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…2e90backed Yes | 51c | 79.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 32c | 77.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…8a05backed Yes | 52c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 49c | 73.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 54c | 71.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…dc8fbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdb…8a82backed Yes | 52c | 70.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 35c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 77c | 56.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 56c | 56.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…339ebacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e87…4f64backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…e682backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +195%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…9f54backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…cc69backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 56c | 47.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes | 49c | 45.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 73c | 45.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 55c | 43.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 54c | 40.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6b…280bbacked No | 74c | 40.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 38c | 38.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…178abacked No | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…b7f1backed Yes | 52c | 34.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 49c | 34.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked No | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…02d3backed No | 55c | 32.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…0ca3backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 45cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…c8b0backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed No | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 74c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked No | 51c | 23.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb842…330ebacked No | 48c | 21.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?this page
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?No won
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?No won
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?No won
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 6% or more?No won
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?No won
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?No won
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.