TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Erling Haaland score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes29c17,710$5,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,122.6358926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No72c12,018$8,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.4918848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.999627.1%26 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes22c1,871$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.6488838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No64c1,746$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.5647049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac0…55f3backed No67c1,545$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.164374.4%32 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+36.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes29c1,395$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.161,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No76c1,377$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8213957.6%80 W · 59 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes29c1,200$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35255044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes28c1,117$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.78936%32 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No73c919$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1340649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b07…7dcbbacked Yes30c794.29$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c773.67$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.388,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No72c639.39$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0353448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eda…d453backed No66c625.5$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.173458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc011…3b70backed No69c614.73$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.061346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x832b…5c91backed Yes32c499.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes27c488.91$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.347126.8%19 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes34c474.82$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2192038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes41c433.88$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.895129.4%15 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No70c430.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.254957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…52d5backed No62c416.77$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.372454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c15…5b4bbacked Yes25c406$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.451963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes28c400$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11411636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes11c390.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.247799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes30c383.37$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0719445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4423…47fdbacked Yes36c344.61$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7812244.3%54 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e3f…32a4backed No66c319.98$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.292245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes29c315.79$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0312936.4%47 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Yes12c291.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.036535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcb…43bcbacked Yes28c289.29$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes31c285.49$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.317244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed Yes10c263.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611928.6%34 W · 85 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No65c206.98$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.182,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6286…f59cbacked Yes12c204$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.486621.2%14 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3f…bc25backed Yes30c201$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6217632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef6…01a1backed Yes36c168.27$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No63c166.43$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.167950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x428f…5d1bbacked Yes18c154.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.843630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes10c151.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21674.2%7 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0498…7067backed Yes26c148.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f3…8f04backed Yes26c136.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes30c108$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.416333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dfb…08bebacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+68.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2813556.3%76 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f1e…fbb1backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…9cd5backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.523245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes29c90.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.381,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed Yes27c87.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.633831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed Yes18c84.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.298041.3%33 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a7…4a91backed No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6510518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb94c…3c05backed No66c75.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.825040%20 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes38c70.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8520142.8%86 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dce…1db3backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b6…cbacbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f2b…a201backed Yes26c60.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…b413backed No65c59.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.481478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd6a…4c9bbacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes30c54.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4826037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712735.4%45 W · 82 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1917357.8%100 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.522550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14d5…8ba8backed No67c46.17$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.241952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2240…e11abacked Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84131.7%13 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca20…baadbacked Yes26c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c62…ca89backed No66c37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked No73c36.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8511255.4%62 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ca…c6e3backed No71c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes31c34.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.571,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1823960.7%145 W · 94 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No69c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8519874.7%148 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe3…dc16backed Yes34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed No69c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9914257.7%82 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No75c28.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.145450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed No75c25.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4336350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed No73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.138657%49 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed No57c18.45$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No74c15.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9517356.6%98 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe0…192abacked No75c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.51984.2%16 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.