Valorant · resolved market
Will Enterprise Esports Win Emea Challengers Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x376a5f59ba26487966da094534d53b2da8705edfc3a68a50098bd110908e6081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e44…affebacked Yes | 16c | 722.62$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.84 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 80c | 353.39$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.52 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 8c | 296.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.37 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x041d…047ebacked Yes | 73c | 204.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf5…e344backed No | 65c | 169.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a9…fdb6backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 49c | 145.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 31cpaid | +295.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…acb5backed Yes | 39c | 124.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…ee6abacked Yes | 48c | 101.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 49c | 100.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0799backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…e027backed Yes | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 79c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…28ebbacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…49d0backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 78c | 43.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Enterprise Esports Win Emea Challengers Stagethis page
- Will Barça eSports Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Beşiktaş Esports Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will FOKUS Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Joblife Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will MIR Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Mandatory Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Misa Esports Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Natus Vincere Junior Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will REBORN Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Team Liquid Academy Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.