Valorant · resolved market
Will REBORN Win Emea Challengers Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c0e857515752e5b7acf26f9732619c671f116a7961643c2784ff8f003b2eea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 9c | 783.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 62c | 717.58$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.41 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…9200backed Yes | 25c | 694.75$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44b…4048backed Yes | 9c | 330.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e44…affebacked Yes | 19c | 213.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 38c | 165.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 118.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 40c | 91.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…8b57backed Yes | 46c | 81.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 18c | 72.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 31cpaid | +295.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 38c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…d3fbbacked Yes | 40c | 50.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 64c | 49.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…336cbacked Yes | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will REBORN Win Emea Challengers Stagethis page
- Will Barça eSports Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Beşiktaş Esports Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Enterprise Esports Win Emea Challengers StageYes won
- Will FOKUS Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Joblife Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will MIR Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Mandatory Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Misa Esports Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Natus Vincere Junior Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Team Liquid Academy Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.