Valorant · resolved market
Will Misa Esports Win Emea Challengers Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc57acc375ede09ae5c7cc5edb1fa7d968514481b5648656c63fc379e5b7c5ee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x041d…047ebacked No | 58c | 444.56$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 8c | 437.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44b…4048backed No | 57c | 304.9$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…0359backed Yes | 43c | 224.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…dc67backed Yes | 43c | 224.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 33c | 187.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…e8f6backed Yes | 8c | 161.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Yes | 8c | 160.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb516…9b19backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…4807backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…ddcdbacked Yes | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 43c | 41.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…c7debacked Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Misa Esports Win Emea Challengers Stagethis page
- Will Barça eSports Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Beşiktaş Esports Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Enterprise Esports Win Emea Challengers StageYes won
- Will FOKUS Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Joblife Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will MIR Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Mandatory Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Natus Vincere Junior Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will REBORN Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
- Will Team Liquid Academy Win Emea Challengers StageNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.