Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal to score first vs. Uzbekistan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd81c3ab4a88b216f172c5852866e01236c2c4207d5dec5159fa5d6fa0e73e80e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 17c | 45,872$7,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,676.38 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 16c | 3,014$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.15 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 18c | 999.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…9b11backed No | 16c | 916.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed No | 16c | 873.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 17c | 776.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed No | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 11c | 573.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 18c | 501$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…2e88backed No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae7d…058fbacked No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 16c | 400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 15c | 399.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 12c | 297.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 14c | 275.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 19c | 257$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 16c | 239.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 17c | 180.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 13c | 146.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 15c | 131.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 119.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 16c | 99.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 68c | 78.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal to score first vs. Uzbekistan?this page
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Neither team to score first?No won
- Uzbekistan to score first vs. Portugal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.