CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72ad3cbd2625b1d507ab1141d1563ed0df4eccdb3e06f9b8a28a0d3a376c905b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof FURIA, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA | 46c | 13,425$6,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,168.97 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 9z | 54c | 6,450$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.31 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked 9z | 52c | 5,203$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.52 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA | 46c | 1,939$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.67 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 9z | 56c | 1,726$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.77 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed 9z | 53c | 1,703$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.23 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65aa…6392backed FURIA | 46c | 1,599$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed 9z | 54c | 1,574$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.07 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FURIA | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked 9z | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked 9z | 55c | 982.73$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.45 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…7c8fbacked 9z | 55c | 890.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.94 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 9z | 55c | 605$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.3 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked 9z | 53c | 523.3$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.43 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked 9z | 56c | 505$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed 9z | 55c | 501$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed 9z | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed 9z | 58c | 499.58$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.09 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked FURIA | 44c | 484.36$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed FURIA | 46c | 397.77$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.72 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed 9z | 55c | 394$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked FURIA | 46c | 370$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed 9z | 55c | 363.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed 9z | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed FURIA | 45c | 338.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.16 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b18bbacked FURIA | 49c | 213$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dd…642abacked FURIA | 47c | 210.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed FURIA | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed 9z | 56c | 105.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed 9z | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked 9z | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed 9z | 53c | 92.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed FURIA | 46c | 69.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed FURIA | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed FURIA | 47c | 57.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed FURIA | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed 9z | 51c | 53.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed FURIA | 45c | 50.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked 9z | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked 9z | 55c | 48.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…bdffbacked 9z | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…5d93backed FURIA | 45c | 43.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed FURIA | 45c | 38.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed FURIA | 46c | 37.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed 9z | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…17e6backed FURIA | 48c | 31.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FURIA | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.