CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53aab2cb13aa010eb9d1dbd9114947a078a4402f46fea4393be169b1770e1c98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 1,665$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.28 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…a330backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…78c2backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…ba8cbacked Over | 49c | 576$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 51c | 553.57$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.25 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Under | 51c | 505$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.45 | 502 | 51%256 W · 246 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed Over | 50c | 358.1$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.05 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 49c | 210.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…25c3backed Under | 53c | 179.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…d4ffbacked Over | 49c | 84.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Under | 50c | 75.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 48c | 46.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…8662backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Under | 45c | 33.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8977…0d20backed Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 49c | 29.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2c…bacabacked Under | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)9z won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.