CS2 · resolved market
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10fc770a6d8a6d1a1509a03f49052b856fce1c736e1cc413b4ec4ab3531b3b10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA | 50c | 3,216$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.79 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed 9z | 50c | 2,858$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.18 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed 9z | 50c | 2,115$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.29 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed 9z | 48c | 1,471$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.44 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 9z | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FURIA | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed 9z | 50c | 501$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 9z | 52c | 463.29$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.98 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FURIA | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…15bcbacked 9z | 50c | 211.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed 9z | 54c | 209.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed FURIA | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed 9z | 48c | 191.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed FURIA | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed 9z | 48c | 162$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f66…39c1backed FURIA | 52c | 162$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed 9z | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked 9z | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked 9z | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed FURIA | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed FURIA | 60c | 83.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked 9z | 40c | 76.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 45c | 61.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FURIA | 50c | 58.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91e…24d0backed 9z | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…6dc3backed FURIA | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FURIA | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac2c…bacabacked 9z | 55c | 24.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2723…d384backed 9z | 55c | 22.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)9z won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.