TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ROSEof Dynamo Esports, ROSE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,458 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Dynamo Esports67c33,819$22,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,609.5952155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed ROSE33c27,408$9,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,363.53785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick39cpaid+151.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Dynamo Esports10c11,463$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.2933942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dynamo Esports10c5,922$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.21,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dynamo Esports10c5,733$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.631,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ROSE34c4,518$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.6551749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ROSE35c3,712$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.881,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed ROSE33c3,115$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.52441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed ROSE33c2,512$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.0318143.6%79 W · 102 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Dynamo Esports67c2,305$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.358348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Dynamo Esports11c2,104$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1623745.1%107 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Dynamo Esports37c2,051$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.8239042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed ROSE33c1,710$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.75156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Dynamo Esports67c1,601$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.5423447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0e…bd73backed Dynamo Esports67c1,553$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.511931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Dynamo Esports16c1,364$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.441,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dynamo Esports9c1,290$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7346326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked ROSE34c1,091$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.572268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Dynamo Esports67c1,017$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.73240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Dynamo Esports12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Dynamo Esports26c988$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.721,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc790…cbd2backed ROSE32c932.42$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Dynamo Esports33c916.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.91,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Dynamo Esports68c902.72$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.287338.4%28 W · 45 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked ROSE59c881.69$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.4828541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5db6…d7afbacked Dynamo Esports40c875.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Dynamo Esports10c808.1$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.816453.1%34 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d3a…9683backed Dynamo Esports67c807$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Dynamo Esports12c711$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9610349.5%51 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Dynamo Esports67c705$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.351752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked ROSE71c601.34$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2442140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Dynamo Esports67c581$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.2711442.1%48 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd72e…c7d2backed Dynamo Esports67c580.43$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Dynamo Esports10c530$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5335142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed ROSE34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed ROSE34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed ROSE34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed ROSE32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3403732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked Dynamo Esports67c497.02$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3333834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed Dynamo Esports41c488.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Dynamo Esports67c487.7$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.761338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Dynamo Esports67c464.94$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5228743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb68…9aa2backed Dynamo Esports67c413.43$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed ROSE34c413.1$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.324736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed ROSE37c386.78$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5915646.2%72 W · 84 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2a…4fd0backed Dynamo Esports67c382$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.941118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Dynamo Esports67c380.32$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.816946.4%32 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed ROSE34c355$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.130544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed ROSE35c330.91$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Dynamo Esports10c320$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42dd…5d2bbacked Dynamo Esports64c294.44$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.444537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa533…755fbacked Dynamo Esports67c293.42$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.595759.6%34 W · 23 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Dynamo Esports35c291.78$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.461,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Dynamo Esports67c290$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.315843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Dynamo Esports10c286.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0815842.4%67 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed ROSE76c262.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0218056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed Dynamo Esports63c252.17$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.951485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+50.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked ROSE71c244.92$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9210975.2%82 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Dynamo Esports40c241.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6293049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc89…095cbacked Dynamo Esports16c236$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.91346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Dynamo Esports11c232.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.549255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ROSE71c221.54$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0877744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c1…cfafbacked ROSE34c199.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Dynamo Esports11c191.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.134365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3355…dd2fbacked Dynamo Esports67c189$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed ROSE33c180.24$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.148158%47 W · 34 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Dynamo Esports67c165.67$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Dynamo Esports31c161.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5822344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Dynamo Esports53c158.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0916241.4%67 W · 95 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked ROSE34c155.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.335100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+101.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x21a6…7442backed ROSE34c155.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.325100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+124.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Dynamo Esports26c148.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6584838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Dynamo Esports11c147.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5427947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10cf…60cfbacked Dynamo Esports67c146.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.32055%11 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Dynamo Esports28c137.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1277929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Dynamo Esports38c131.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.989942.4%42 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dynamo Esports15c127.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3955637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Dynamo Esports54c125.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7369722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8c90…2f6bbacked Dynamo Esports40c125.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed ROSE34c118.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.088646.5%40 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9467…98fbbacked ROSE33c115.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked ROSE63c103.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1734954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Dynamo Esports66c101.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1333753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed ROSE31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6911844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0f…e49cbacked ROSE33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+165.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Dynamo Esports43c88.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3813933.1%46 W · 93 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed ROSE62c80.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.486762.7%42 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Dynamo Esports60c79.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2620553.2%109 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Dynamo Esports40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked ROSE31c67.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7415232.9%50 W · 102 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Dynamo Esports31c66.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7565347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Dynamo Esports18c65.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed ROSE34c65.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0714852.7%78 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x015a…99d0backed ROSE39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x279c…5910backed ROSE58c62.19$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Dynamo Esports63c61.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.341,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0beb…4503backed ROSE34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Dynamo Esports64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.115334.6%53 W · 100 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5be5…d48ebacked ROSE34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+90.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Dynamo Esports30c58.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7996245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.