Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs ROSE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a9fdf9f0563cabb6458f00b0dc4714d413594b31c1c79dc1ef9d0c415b677bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ROSEof Dynamo Esports, ROSE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Dynamo Esports | 24c | 755.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dynamo Esports | 45c | 579.12$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.72 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ROSE | 51c | 564.81$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.64 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed ROSE | 78c | 553.09$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed ROSE | 61c | 414.25$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Dynamo Esports | 54c | 316.72$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.35 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Dynamo Esports | 60c | 228.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dynamo Esports | 46c | 186.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Dynamo Esports | 38c | 164.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dynamo Esports | 47c | 148.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed ROSE | 40c | 131.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Dynamo Esports | 57c | 128.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ROSE | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Dynamo Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Dynamo Esports | 51c | 97.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Dynamo Esports | 34c | 88.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Dynamo Esports | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Dynamo Esports | 53c | 81.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Dynamo Esports | 53c | 67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dynamo Esports | 36c | 60.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dynamo Esports | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked ROSE | 45c | 36.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked ROSE | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Dynamo Esports | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed ROSE | 70c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ROSE | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ROSE | 50c | 27.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked ROSE | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Dynamo Esports | 47c | 24.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Dynamo Esports | 52c | 22.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed ROSE | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs ROSE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageROSE won
- Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs ROSE - Map 1 WinnerROSE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.