Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e709576863f44f43d8f3d94dc86346128e9927a1e313a0c5801406b412376df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Team Resilience, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 60c | 14,643$8,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,845.88 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.98 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 6,726$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.06 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Yakult Brothers | 15c | 4,877$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…b82bbacked Team Resilience | 63c | 4,819$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 2,567$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yakult Brothers | 15c | 2,325$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.73 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Resilience | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Resilience | 61c | 1,806$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.44 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yakult Brothers | 15c | 1,754$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.39 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 1,707$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.8 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 1,683$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 1,650$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Team Resilience | 76c | 1,454$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 1,404$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.73 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Resilience | 75c | 1,200$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yakult Brothers | 45c | 1,125$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.3 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…3075backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 1,100$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Resilience | 61c | 1,077$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.07 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 1,049$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.15 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac1…df98backed Team Resilience | 64c | 1,036$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 1,000$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.41 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Resilience | 76c | 986.36$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.41 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Team Resilience | 73c | 947.65$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.65 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Team Resilience | 65c | 926.7$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Team Resilience | 62c | 920.19$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Resilience | 68c | 896.91$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.4 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Resilience | 65c | 895.81$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.22 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…12a7backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 895$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 875$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.25 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…354dbacked Team Resilience | 58c | 855.89$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.47 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 808.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Resilience | 59c | 800$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.2 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 750$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb16b…3a57backed Team Resilience | 66c | 750$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Team Resilience | 74c | 703.57$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 69 | 81.2%56 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Team Resilience | 69c | 668.14$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.24 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed Team Resilience | 61c | 656.65$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.61 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Team Resilience | 76c | 650.26$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.26 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 636.73$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.87 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Resilience | 78c | 632.78$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 620.25$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.99 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Team Resilience | 59c | 599.98$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 586.09$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 550.12$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…9192backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 501$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.38 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 500.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Team Resilience | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…3797backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…10b4backed Team Resilience | 61c | 491.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Team Resilience | 74c | 483.44$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 479.03$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Team Resilience | 63c | 478.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Team Resilience | 62c | 467.74$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 451.73$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.17 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139b…e370backed Yakult Brothers | 22c | 441.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Team Resilience | 61c | 437.19$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 426$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Resilience | 63c | 368.78$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.58 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 346.69$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…b43bbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 339.95$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Resilience | 77c | 336.95$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 336$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.41 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yakult Brothers | 22c | 320.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 314.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Resilience | 64c | 313.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Yakult Brothers | 44c | 310.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.29 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 299.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Team Resilience | 75c | 287.69$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Resilience | 74c | 273.28$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…7ecfbacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 261.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…701ebacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 251.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4c…e05fbacked Yakult Brothers | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yakult Brothers | 26c | 241.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Team Resilience | 73c | 239.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 224.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 215.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Resilience | 71c | 211.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 206.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Team Resilience | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…184abacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed Yakult Brothers | 24c | 196.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Team Resilience | 62c | 191.53$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 190.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…4fd0backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 181.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 176.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)Team Resilience won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.