Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x059dc1c38574963210754460328c2ffaeb7c44ba2a7a422e24a0afc0358e5259
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Team Resilience, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 46c | 20,411$9,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,980.2 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Yakult Brothers | 30c | 6,688$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Yakult Brothers | 54c | 4,924$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.78 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Resilience | 69c | 4,410$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.43 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Yakult Brothers | 49c | 3,856$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.18 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Resilience | 74c | 3,730$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.8 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 3,166$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.41 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Resilience | 59c | 2,755$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.76 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yakult Brothers | 47c | 2,740$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.55 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 2,435$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.64 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 2,261$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.87 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Yakult Brothers | 49c | 1,987$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.42 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 1,581$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.64 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Resilience | 27c | 1,409$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.35 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 1,373$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.92 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Yakult Brothers | 59c | 1,351$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.57 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Resilience | 62c | 1,238$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.36 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 1,133$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yakult Brothers | 45c | 1,024$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.62 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Yakult Brothers | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 975.4$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Team Resilience | 80c | 971.51$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.3 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…dcd9backed Team Resilience | 30c | 967.96$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Resilience | 50c | 922$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 902.89$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.24 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…5680backed Yakult Brothers | 62c | 815.07$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 789.97$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yakult Brothers | 19c | 749.85$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.62 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Team Resilience | 59c | 723.85$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.78 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Resilience | 72c | 605.41$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.63 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Yakult Brothers | 64c | 548.33$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.51 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 507.58$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 500$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.11 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Resilience | 70c | 427.83$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.35 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Yakult Brothers | 19c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 388.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 388$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Yakult Brothers | 28c | 369.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 367.32$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Team Resilience | 70c | 362.91$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 349.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Resilience | 58c | 344.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.82 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 341.11$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.48 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Team Resilience | 68c | 340.64$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yakult Brothers | 19c | 323.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Resilience | 48c | 311.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 311$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Resilience | 64c | 300$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…dba7backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 294.86$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…10b4backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 293.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Yakult Brothers | 75c | 273.91$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.72 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 265.11$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 264.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Team Resilience | 76c | 263.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 252.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb16b…3a57backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 250.32$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Resilience | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 249.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 238.17$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 234.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 227.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed Yakult Brothers | 66c | 221.03$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.01 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Resilience | 43c | 219$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Resilience | 70c | 216.67$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Team Resilience | 73c | 215.82$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 208.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Resilience | 74c | 190.23$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…f8a1backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 179.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 175.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 173.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…f2c0backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 170.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Resilience | 75c | 157.23$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 156.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ed…41b2backed Team Resilience | 58c | 145.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Resilience | 49c | 143.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae78…acafbacked Team Resilience | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd309…dc1bbacked Team Resilience | 42c | 136.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…7541backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 132.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…85f2backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 131$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Yakult Brothers | 77c | 129.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…affdbacked Team Resilience | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Team Resilience | 67c | 123.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Yakult Brothers | 62c | 122$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Team Resilience | 73c | 121.78$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Resilience | 43c | 120$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Resilience | 63c | 112.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…8c25backed Team Resilience | 59c | 108.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 107.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 101.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yakult Brothers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Resilience | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)Team Resilience won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.