TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,144
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,144 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9aff…b136backed Yes62c3,888$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,46931444.9%141 W · 173 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No39c2,819$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.342751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Yes17c1,546$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.898657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Yes13c1,400$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.9718830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes31c1,253$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.578223.2%19 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No66c1,186$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.58457.1%48 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes19c1,178$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.4312642.1%53 W · 73 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d1…1a38backed No32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Yes61c983.11$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.4653558.9%315 W · 220 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd8…c40ebacked Yes16c904.25$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+526.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed Yes64c763.54$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.8717952.5%94 W · 85 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No65c760.09$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No60c681.91$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.9812552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…7834backed Yes26c642.9$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.751752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes32c608.92$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.6117023.5%40 W · 130 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes23c540.96$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.032722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No71c528$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.781266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f3…da2bbacked Yes19c469.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.493675%27 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Yes13c444.8$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.9845457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3692…aa85backed Yes20c439.83$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.862669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes25c434.36$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.8744771.1%318 W · 129 L+27.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes22c424.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.341421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-44.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Yes22c395$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31025956.8%147 W · 112 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb16b…3a57backed Yes14c394.15$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.332646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274a…d35bbacked Yes17c356.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.663070%21 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No75c322$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-79.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No57c319.05$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.663969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No59c309.25$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.71553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6f…aab3backed Yes68c294.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7842160.1%253 W · 168 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Yes19c257.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5459456.7%337 W · 257 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No60c252.07$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed Yes21c237.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3218351.9%95 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No66c227.54$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.731471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a53…71a3backed Yes17c214.28$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2818262.6%114 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No39c190$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.150%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No39c186$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd2…9ab1backed No32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d1…e8f6backed Yes18c120.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.75520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fab…9a70backed Yes63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.115569.1%38 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…0950backed Yes68c108.36$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.361361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…4664backed Yes26c107.32$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed No38c102$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes20c101.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7376048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No53c100.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…172abacked Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7432252.5%169 W · 153 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb6…bddfbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.249853.1%52 W · 46 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes27c91.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.993842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fd4…cfbbbacked Yes33c88.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No78c86.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.472240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes26c83.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eda…57e0backed Yes32c77.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.45825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f3…c13cbacked No35c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe64e…aa99backed Yes68c73.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.67067.1%47 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cc…ad4cbacked Yes14c70.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9410635.8%38 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4381…2588backed Yes21c69.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Yes33c60.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6280742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No80c59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.983655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0f…1011backed Yes24c53.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.74540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed No39c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2840%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No62c50.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+187.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6da…3699backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0041…967cbacked No80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c18…32c3backed Yes23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2a…b7dfbacked Yes27c49.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No47c49.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.271266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes23c46.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed No66c46.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.58540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes64c38.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No36c34.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No36c34.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.14540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No47c31.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x088f…131bbacked Yes67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No64c29.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0556…4fd8backed No39c26.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7535850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No74c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No64c22.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…b180backed No74c14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7244…2aafbacked No80c13.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.