TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0556…4fd8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Dallas: Gavin Young vs Aidan Kimbacked Gavin Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Croatia Open, Qualification: Raul Brancaccio vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iasi: Valentin Royer vs Taro Danielbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$14.81
Newport: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Anna Rogersbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Iasi: Pedro Martinez vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayenibacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$7.43
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$8
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$2.93
Roland Garros WTA: Julia Grabher vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$5.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$11.73
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$41.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$12.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$11.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.