Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06425f9209e25a53234b694edfea2eb6114b20ac3b6ca5fe7c7bae4c5e27420c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 41c | 8,486$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.24 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 61c | 2,092$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.27 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,258$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.91 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 42c | 1,096$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.18 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 50c | 753.74$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.05 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…7561backed No | 78c | 698.08$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 56c | 675.95$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.51 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 647.62$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 61c | 576.05$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.22 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 49c | 528.47$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.26 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 54c | 490.1$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.67 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 470$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…cdcbbacked Yes | 68c | 460$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.8 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 61c | 454.66$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.19 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 57c | 418.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.25 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 52c | 389.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.39 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 22c | 388.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 5c | 380$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 45c | 379.69$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.56 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 49c | 376.57$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.89 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 49c | 355.85$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.63 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 59c | 350.36$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 57c | 342.03$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.57 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 39c | 327.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.15 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…ed00backed Yes | 63c | 310.28$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 54c | 306.44$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccc…61dfbacked Yes | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 51c | 279.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 25c | 264.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed No | 44c | 251.59$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 203 | 47.8%97 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…a394backed No | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | -17.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…bb20backed Yes | 57c | 245.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 52c | 240.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 64c | 233.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…63e1backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 225.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 50c | 219$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 48c | 214.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 40c | 206.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d4a6backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 184.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 31c | 183.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…14a9backed Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 44c | 178.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 53c | 169.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed No | 54c | 167.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 47c | 166.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 158.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 36c | 155.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…2f82backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 19c | 151.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…229fbacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…8ed6backed Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 22c | 147.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…6e66backed Yes | 43c | 129.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed Yes | 57c | 127.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 42c | 116.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 19c | 116.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 56c | 116.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 56c | 115.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 61c | 115$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f4…6950backed Yes | 28c | 113.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 29c | 112.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…727bbacked Yes | 52c | 112.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 46c | 109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 35c | 107.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…1316backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…a1f1backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…28f8backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 48c | 96.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cb…6d71backed No | 41c | 95.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…81b2backed Yes | 36c | 94.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 44c | 93.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…c40fbacked Yes | 58c | 90.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 34c | 87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 53c | 84.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 25c | 84.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 53c | 82.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…018bbacked Yes | 66c | 76.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 44c | 74.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 43c | 69.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 52c | 68.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…2c35backed Yes | 51c | 67.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 38c | 66.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 65c | 66.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.