Champions League · resolved market
FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16730635286f3cf2bda3cfba7470517b48c2ffbe123bbb37d60b143f260bb71f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 0c | 24,531$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.95 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 28c | 2,809$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.92 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 2,297$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 53c | 1,930$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.18 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Over | 55c | 1,728$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…0522backed Over | 55c | 1,389$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +138%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 55c | 970.26$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 47c | 808$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 807.58$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.76 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 55c | 703$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Over | 45c | 572.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 560.09$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.82 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 51c | 510$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.61 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 17c | 490$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 19c | 473.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 289.41$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.82 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 55c | 279.2$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…32e8backed Over | 43c | 229.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 229.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 57c | 176.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Over | 55c | 164.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 157$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 56c | 152.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 58c | 146.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Under | 43c | 115.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 48c | 114.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 43c | 111.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 43c | 93.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 42c | 88.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 60c | 86.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 80.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 55c | 76.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 66.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 51.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 53c | 48.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 55c | 47.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 47c | 29.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 45c | 27.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…4fd8backed Over | 47c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 56c | 21.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e76…dac6backed Over | 69c | 21.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 71c | 19.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 68c | 17.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: FC Flora O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: FC Flora O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-1.5)FC Flora won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-2.5)FC Flora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.