Champions League · resolved market
FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65b8806e81f86709d483c4bad76a7a7855fcfedaf67b09b73fb1689cb96f7c6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 3,058$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.5 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 37c | 2,912$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.99 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 2,747$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.3 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0e…952fbacked Under | 48c | 2,331$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Over | 33c | 1,439$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 47c | 1,131$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 66c | 760.79$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.62 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 737.33$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.19 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 15c | 672.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.18 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 75c | 505$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.7 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…89bcbacked Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 41c | 303.81$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 50c | 302.05$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.59 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 11c | 291.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 68c | 276.78$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 207.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Over | 45c | 177$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Over | 28c | 171.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 166.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 37c | 136.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 135.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 26c | 118.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 37c | 101.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…f09fbacked Under | 43c | 97.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 65c | 94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 17c | 85.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 15c | 69.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 35c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…b8dcbacked Under | 48c | 55.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 47cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Over | 42c | 35.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 50c | 34.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…ac48backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee7…fb13backed Over | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…8ac2backed Over | 45c | 32.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 58c | 21.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 48c | 21.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 72c | 14.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: FC Flora O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: FC Flora O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: SK Iberia 1999 O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-1.5)FC Flora won
- Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-2.5)FC Flora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.