Dota2 · resolved market
Will BetBoom Team win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fca4205bb929033adbb4fa6e07a704ac5f43148073c7bdb381a4dedc9bcfc27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 12c | 3,692$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.76 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 11c | 3,338$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.31 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 9c | 2,924$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.73 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Yes | 12c | 1,430$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 13c | 949.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.67 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…7834backed Yes | 32c | 884.59$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 684.59$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 40c | 531.34$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Yes | 35c | 515$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.25 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 64c | 509.84$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…1a38backed Yes | 51c | 499.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Yes | 10c | 359.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 348$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 35c | 331.24$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 80c | 309.22$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5416…60eebacked Yes | 34c | 279.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yes | 38c | 269.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a0…5b6fbacked Yes | 7c | 222.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes | 7c | 203.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…5129backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Yes | 8c | 189.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes | 11c | 174.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…e8f6backed Yes | 7c | 173.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…570bbacked Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…b4a7backed Yes | 37c | 129.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 106.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 72c | 104.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 66c | 103.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 78c | 101.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…c9cabacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…aa99backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 24c | 66.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…e241backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 62c | 49.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…15e0backed Yes | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745d…95fbbacked Yes | 39c | 42.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 42c | 33.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb16b…3a57backed Yes | 36c | 28.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 68c | 24.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked No | 73c | 24.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BetBoom Team win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentthis page
- Will 1W win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Aurora Gaming win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will GamerLegion win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will L1GA TEAM win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will LGD Gaming win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will MOUZ win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Nigma Galaxy win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will OG win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentYes won
- Will PlayTime win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Rune Eaters win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Team Falcons win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Team Liquid win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Team Spirit win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Vici Gaming win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Virtus.pro win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
- Will Xtreme Gaming win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.