TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ae7…561fbacked Yes0c13,597$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes54c7,053$3,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,824.211354%61 W · 52 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked No46c3,451$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.2450040.8%204 W · 296 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Yes56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9965047.4%308 W · 342 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No47c1,996$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe041…8380backed Yes3c1,600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes47c1,449$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.1216851.2%86 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf0…5e42backed Yes25c1,182$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+948.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed No43c1,041$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.4919342%81 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b05…3455backed Yes21c963.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.86450%32 W · 32 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+33.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d9f…0c25backed Yes42c952.3$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.6231052.3%162 W · 148 L+30.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d14…36fdbacked Yes12c790.09$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8114847.3%70 W · 78 L+15.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+50%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked No77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3571157%405 W · 306 L+40.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1330…b4b5backed Yes32c633.75$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.648843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes52c629.35$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.26933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-55.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes48c615.38$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.242334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8373…f0bcbacked No66c562$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.33666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes48c518.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9641146.5%191 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Yes25c453.76$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0829758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…2e90backed Yes52c382.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008257.3%47 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No69c358.72$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.572454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf607…afa9backed Yes53c316$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes52c312$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.93714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-79.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No70c296.76$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.492356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb22f…8339backed Yes71c281.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010341.7%43 W · 60 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes54c276.37$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.411127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-55.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked Yes23c274.39$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6316336.2%59 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No47c270$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.190348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No55c263$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.231872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a4f…09b9backed No77c243.9$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.93458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No68c237.93$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.022759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed No45c220$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.241,26542.8%541 W · 724 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes23c195.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1919744.2%87 W · 110 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.441,06723.5%251 W · 816 L-76.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No69c162.66$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.311573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No57c162$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.521553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked No75c160.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4179356.2%446 W · 347 L-2.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No45c154.4$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1218121%38 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a56…be30backed No53c150$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.752751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5141…7346backed Yes30c145.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.81250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No77c142$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.872254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No47c135.28$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.092070%14 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No77c135$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No45c132.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6816339.3%64 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes36c123.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.736839.7%27 W · 41 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No60c120.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.474566.7%30 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes49c114.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9513243.9%58 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No70c114$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.321275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes50c102.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518737.9%33 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No71c101.46$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.021275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Yes38c100.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.626240.3%25 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.572744.4%12 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf15…91c5backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2622…b30ebacked No80c95.92$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe40a…e4a2backed No55c89.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd2…9ab1backed No71c89$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.755100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed No58c86.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No71c83.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.691080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b25…e4bebacked Yes57c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes31c79.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.483138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No63c74.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.471566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed No70c65.36$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.622951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No26c64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No70c63.22$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Yes48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd563…92d7backed Yes48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7871…cca1backed No55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes20c58.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.992010%2 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick9cpaid+85.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x09ae…2ff5backed Yes20c58.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122020%4 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No57c55.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.011040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No57c54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.221631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeed8…35f0backed Yes51c54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1491…fd70backed No48c53.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed No48c51.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes50c51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5521051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed Yes23c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c9b6backed Yes23c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f2…3bc2backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.553147.5%252 W · 279 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb58…ccd0backed Yes23c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62b…ceecbacked Yes23c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes22c45.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.181428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+137.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c3e…5a86backed Yes23c44.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc09b…38e2backed Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed No57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…fb67backed No46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.042070%14 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e13…00ecbacked No57c39.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.952166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0384…3a68backed No53c37.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.926625.8%17 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-56.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3252…0631backed No55c36.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.04955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe3…10d8backed No53c32.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c0c…6316backed Yes45c32.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2661946.5%288 W · 331 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5651…83e1backed Yes58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71d3…e130backed No69c29.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.032272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No73c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8346952.2%245 W · 224 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3488…c00dbacked No56c28.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No75c27.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75334%18 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No74c27.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.288743.7%38 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd387…adefbacked Yes47c26.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.