Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf13295bb3ad70cbb2939479477adb281b6b65a2362c1a5ea3fc9451644275f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Yes | 79c | 63,143$50,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,130.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Yes | 80c | 49,341$39,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,896.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed No | 21c | 44,218$9,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,285.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 20c | 16,495$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed No | 20c | 12,689$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 77c | 11,119$8,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 14c | 9,819$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.29 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 20c | 9,292$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.51 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 22c | 8,160$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 22c | 7,708$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 19c | 5,881$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 15c | 5,461$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.25 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 14c | 5,113$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.31 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 13c | 4,930$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 10c | 4,737$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 23c | 4,666$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 16c | 4,383$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 9c | 4,322$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 4,040$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 76c | 3,584$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 21c | 3,413$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 20c | 3,325$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 79c | 3,057$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.92 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 13c | 3,030$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 21c | 2,986$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 16c | 2,578$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…fa95backed No | 19c | 2,549$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 12c | 2,538$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed No | 9c | 2,199$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 19c | 1,940$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 21c | 1,899$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 20c | 1,865$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.26 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 20c | 1,748$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 19c | 1,592$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 75c | 1,579$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,385$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 20c | 1,323$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 1,315$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 10c | 1,284$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…f37dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,254$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 12c | 1,252$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 22c | 1,241$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 22c | 1,190$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.63 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yes | 79c | 1,099$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…4b79backed Yes | 79c | 1,021$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…e2edbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…d454backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed No | 14c | 945.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…d422backed Yes | 79c | 937$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…06afbacked No | 11c | 905.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Yes | 78c | 891.54$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 78c | 865.41$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 812.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad56…9336backed No | 12c | 804.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…525fbacked Yes | 78c | 774.19$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 19c | 759.84$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 23c | 750.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed No | 22c | 738.14$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 8c | 719.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 17c | 719.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 15c | 702.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 75c | 666.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 15c | 655.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a68…7b56backed Yes | 37c | 596.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bc…5601backed Yes | 79c | 590.41$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 24c | 578$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed No | 20c | 577.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 22c | 573.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 77c | 570.85$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…01d0backed No | 14c | 557.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…3d52backed Yes | 75c | 526.67$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Yes | 79c | 501.11$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked No | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…0aa4backed Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…3d98backed Yes | 77c | 499.99$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…0f63backed No | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…881fbacked No | 17c | 491.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb331…1786backed Yes | 48c | 458.5$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.35 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 14c | 445.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed No | 17c | 440.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 44c | 433.9$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 23c | 423$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 21c | 414.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 21c | 403.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…91debacked Yes | 77c | 401$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…88e9backed No | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 17c | 387.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 72c | 386.56$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 21c | 365$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 25c | 353.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…5cffbacked Yes | 79c | 346.69$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…faa6backed No | 21c | 345.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed No | 13c | 344.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 19c | 334.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 48c | 327.26$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3650…d17cbacked No | 14c | 327.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?this page
- Will Caleb Wilson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?No won
- Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?No won
- Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.