Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6b2080f536c5cd602771b1918c5be119044d826e076b5fbe92753c2b243ed35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 20c | 14,167$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 21c | 11,497$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes | 20c | 9,699$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 78c | 8,160$6,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 79c | 7,708$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes | 16c | 5,845$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…fa95backed Yes | 23c | 4,531$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 75c | 4,407$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Yes | 17c | 4,025$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.28 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 8c | 3,033$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 80c | 3,033$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…ce51backed Yes | 21c | 2,390$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Yes | 21c | 2,357$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Yes | 15c | 2,256$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 13c | 2,076$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Yes | 12c | 1,725$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…5885backed Yes | 37c | 1,634$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 6c | 1,294$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 6c | 1,160$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…c6c3backed Yes | 19c | 1,128$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,124$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.64 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…695ebacked Yes | 11c | 939.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf317…b22fbacked Yes | 21c | 930.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 869.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 14c | 842.34$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 798.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa8…8b99backed Yes | 13c | 757.21$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…3c0dbacked Yes | 28c | 723$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…d184backed Yes | 14c | 703.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 658.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed Yes | 9c | 653.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 19c | 645.31$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 48c | 594.98$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 16c | 563.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked Yes | 7c | 532.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…d77dbacked Yes | 12c | 514.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 8c | 504.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 77c | 491.82$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.69 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 16c | 490.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 9c | 482.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 21c | 450.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…369dbacked Yes | 22c | 444.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 60c | 410.44$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 19c | 407.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41d…2134backed Yes | 22c | 402.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 19c | 400$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 78c | 400$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 12c | 397.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 13c | 384.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 8c | 348.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 5c | 345.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…ee06backed Yes | 11c | 311.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc07…1cddbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes | 9c | 296.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 19c | 284.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Yes | 17c | 272.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc6…8f2dbacked Yes | 23c | 252.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f2ddbacked No | 80c | 245.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Yes | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…ae8dbacked Yes | 21c | 233.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 14c | 217$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes | 72c | 216.83$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…88e9backed Yes | 11c | 216.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 19c | 214.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 210.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 44c | 195$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 17c | 193$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Yes | 17c | 179.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…8b15backed Yes | 39c | 179.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e8…b7b3backed Yes | 24c | 169.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…f78fbacked Yes | 26c | 168.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…4798backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 80c | 166.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…007ebacked Yes | 17c | 153.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdb…4496backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaca…23d7backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…a5a5backed No | 70c | 143.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…5f05backed Yes | 22c | 142.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…1435backed Yes | 42c | 142.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 77c | 135.95$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 53c | 131.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…2756backed Yes | 21c | 126.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…80e5backed Yes | 18c | 126$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…3966backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 70c | 117.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Yes | 24c | 114.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…8230backed Yes | 18c | 106.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 17c | 105.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 16c | 104.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 51c | 102.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 32c | 100.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…e527backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…e38abacked Yes | 22c | 92.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked No | 75c | 88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6b…902bbacked Yes | 18c | 82.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?this page
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yes won
- Will Caleb Wilson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?No won
- Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.