Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcccd3888aa379e8ef671ecf2e02b33cbccc6b54ddb1c6cc4f0f28c77ede6f789
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91eb…2e19backed Yes | 2c | 57,533$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 6c | 20,202$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,611$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,053$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…3115backed Yes | 1c | 3,331$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,802$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 1c | 2,515$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 4c | 2,448$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 1c | 2,296$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Yes | 7c | 2,210$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 3c | 2,051$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,503$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,499$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,360$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Yes | 8c | 1,200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,042$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 725.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 5c | 512.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 3c | 408.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 3c | 385.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Yes | 12c | 304.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 5c | 282.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 7c | 204.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 6c | 199.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked Yes | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…6266backed No | 80c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?this page
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yes won
- Will Caleb Wilson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?No won
- Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.