TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes22c1,754$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.147045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No76c400$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30255044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes69c306$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.352759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0ba…0eccbacked Yes46c276$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes29c254.68$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.821,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8919…d64ebacked No79c238.96$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.723525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No30c199.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8312534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf00…33a7backed No29c150.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.143360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+54%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes24c150$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11476445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b0…acdebacked No77c132.9$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.334731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked No77c128.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.76141%25 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked No77c116.46$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.671758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c66…01d0backed No77c104$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.083450%17 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013530.4%41 W · 94 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3bbe…41afbacked Yes27c98.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.46966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No65c90.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8348636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed No77c85.93$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.175837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc5e…7761backed No77c70.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.134136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked No77c57.42$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.215050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2514739.5%58 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes67c45.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9335954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No54c39.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1966239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x970e…b78dbacked No65c37.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7b…8eaabacked No80c36.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.261650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes70c33.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9572247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No32c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4680225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No52c32.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.032,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe630…76f9backed No62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ff…879cbacked Yes68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68932.6%29 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked No77c28.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.684045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f0…672bbacked No77c25.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.361020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b9f…97c7backed No77c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed No77c24.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.538041.3%33 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cbf…6e11backed No71c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed No77c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.483850%19 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc5…dbc3backed No71c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dc1…a08cbacked No77c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3c…de59backed No77c21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6899…4161backed No71c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c4e…804cbacked No71c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7a…07a0backed No61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf52…55d6backed No77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb720…15e5backed No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.