Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ab1b9585cdd025f648f68cf81f22fc8df2a60351d0ab50f34a426e58be6bd87

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,500 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes	38c	270$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.35	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf658…dcfebacked No	50c	195.93$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.87	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+27%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebd2…0d5dbacked No	39c	169.48$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.71	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.28per pick	35cpaid	+87.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed Yes	59c	135.62$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.02	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes	59c	111.44$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.75	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0968…0165backed Yes	59c	103.04$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.79	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f0…672bbacked Yes	59c	100.3$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.18	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eb3…dd2dbacked Yes	59c	92.74$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.72	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	56c	86.57$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.77	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes	50c	69.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.7	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9341…d75fbacked Yes	59c	66$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.94	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0676…e3c8backed No	48c	62.8$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	52c	61$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.51	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7401…da60backed No	40c	60$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No	51c	58$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.42	219	44.3%97 W · 122 L	-16.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	50c	55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad64…50a7backed No	45c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No	41c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.5	210	63.3%133 W · 77 L	+27.4wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No	45c	48.17$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.49	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	58c	45$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Yes	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	117	49.6%58 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed No	43c	40$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Yes	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	117	47%55 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7b…8eaabacked Yes	58c	37.22$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.59	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	38c	30.06$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.59	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed No	42c	28.84$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.73	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No	42c	27$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.66	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf52…55d6backed Yes	59c	25.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.28	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-4.5wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x576e…f8e0backed Yes	59c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed Yes	59c	24.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.73	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefdc…a595backed No	42c	24$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.92	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a33…d2fcbacked Yes	59c	24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x359f…5f75backed Yes	59c	22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	61c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xaaab…b2fcbacked Yes	59c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-15.0wins	-0.13per pick	62cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	218	50.9%111 W · 107 L	-29.6wins	-0.14per pick	65cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc372…1d46backed Yes	59c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event