Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a9d7d4a1d0ed4bcefd1769f7f97f0d475ebfa3301ec2a0b1ea385aeb148f687

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,066 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	33c	1,055$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.36	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7401…da60backed Yes	51c	902.67$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.29	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No	33c	658.03$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.24	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd8bf…8ecebacked No	30c	290$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.38	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0952…a44bbacked No	71c	234.71$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.76	8	100%8 W · 0 L	+3.9wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+127.9%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed Yes	68c	199.99$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.99	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	36c	168.78$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.21	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ee…aa3fbacked Yes	35c	160$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	29c	145.82$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.71	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5e…7761backed No	67c	121.95$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.24	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked No	67c	121.5$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.09	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd3…36c5backed No	67c	117.93$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.92	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdc…a595backed No	67c	94.78$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.28	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	39c	79.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.45	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e7…d1cebacked Yes	40c	70$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cff…be62backed No	67c	60.2$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.87	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1423…1fbcbacked Yes	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked No	67c	54.67$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.04	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ee…801bbacked Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	107	43.9%47 W · 60 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No	66c	49.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Yes	63c	36.84$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.21	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Yes	62c	36.84$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.84	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7b…8eaabacked Yes	70c	36.84$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.79	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	36c	33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed No	68c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb1c0…1c64backed No	60c	24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20a6…def4backed No	67c	23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d39…3e88backed No	60c	23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x576e…f8e0backed Yes	44c	23$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0960…e987backed No	60c	21$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6899…4161backed No	60c	21$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd417…478bbacked No	60c	21$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes	70c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	168	47%79 W · 89 L	-11.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4bc…f7b0backed No	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb66c…5c84backed No	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes	68c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	218	50.9%111 W · 107 L	-29.6wins	-0.14per pick	65cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa012…2af7backed Yes	68c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.7wins	-0.38per pick	67cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x359f…5f75backed No	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event