TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Ankle" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa58d…b9b8backed No63c714.26$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.347045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cfc…a5c2backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No70c181.5$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6145736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0b…28b0backed Yes38c150$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefdc…a595backed Yes37c127.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.273638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8919…d64ebacked No70c107.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.163525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No56c106$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6455044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes38c106$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2811038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc5e…7761backed Yes38c102.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.914136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4443…f82fbacked Yes32c92.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b0…acdebacked Yes38c86.88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.014731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked Yes38c83.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.586141%25 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed Yes36c76.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.459743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb3…dd2dbacked Yes38c69.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.463030%9 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed Yes38c60.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.938041.3%33 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked No70c55.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.441758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f0…672bbacked Yes38c51.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.661020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1415942.1%67 W · 92 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad64…50a7backed No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes39c49.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5123245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No69c48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8818641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked Yes38c46.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.515050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2db…ffcbbacked No72c44.51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.466142.6%26 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No70c40.26$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8848636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7b…8eaabacked No68c36.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.791650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66c…8460backed No70c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No70c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.666239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93b5…0f43backed Yes39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.214839.2%58 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked No67c29.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.911058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e2…d8b0backed No73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0960…e987backed No73c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.211275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa672…2fddbacked No73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.216646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e63…134fbacked No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d1…9a75backed No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2149…24f6backed No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+285.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…5c84backed No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9764…a691backed No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.421944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb58…c62ebacked No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd2…0d5dbacked No70c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick35cpaid+87.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No69c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5821850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.