TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Foul" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0952…a44bbacked No33c315.24$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.878100%8 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+127.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes78c180$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b7…d5f3backed No20c111.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1412544.8%56 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ff…879cbacked Yes68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.998932.6%29 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No31c57.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8717249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3448636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed Yes80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ee…801bbacked Yes64c49.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210743.9%47 W · 60 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…1a28backed Yes79c48.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes79c39.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5355044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d5e…b7e4backed Yes66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.656753.7%36 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.