TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes51c1,762$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.816150.8%31 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No50c1,320$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.367045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No54c1,176$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.1172247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No43c829.75$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.5848961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x865d…16bdbacked Yes49c777.24$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b4…494bbacked Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked No62c347$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.162759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No46c300$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.821063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked Yes50c272.1$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.056141%25 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10255044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x582f…9cd5backed Yes43c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No59c181.1$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0317249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ae…9528backed Yes43c138.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc5e…7761backed No56c137.92$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.684136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No56c131.33$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7948636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xefdc…a595backed No56c118.44$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.113638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed Yes50c114.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.128041.3%33 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b0…acdebacked Yes50c107.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.614731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9341…d75fbacked No56c105.43$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed No31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6913530.4%41 W · 94 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcfd2…e68cbacked No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed Yes42c90.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.425545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb3…dd2dbacked Yes50c85.46$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.733030%9 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f0…672bbacked Yes50c80.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.161020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked Yes50c74.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.244045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad64…50a7backed Yes51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes50c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.511038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed No45c42.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3319742.6%84 W · 113 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes59c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.416646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Yes51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.211749.6%58 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Yes51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.211747%55 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked No56c38.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.091758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa87d…6871backed Yes69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.61090%9 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick56cpaid+65.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdf52…55d6backed Yes50c28.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked No47c25.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.676358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd4c…b7e7backed Yes49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed Yes54c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.342755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7166239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbcfd…c364backed Yes67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.440%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e63…134fbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7266…116abacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f9…3138backed Yes51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+212.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb58…c62ebacked Yes66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa012…2af7backed Yes66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick67cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.