TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc181…0992backed No55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8253447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No33c1,028$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.955733.3%19 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes53c1,000$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.2321850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7401…da60backed No50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502025%5 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes61c678.32$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9876445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc2…5003backed No13c625.07$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.881822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes50c462.86$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.897045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No40c406$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5255044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0968…0165backed Yes61c351.45$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.553655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdc…a595backed Yes60c232.85$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.83638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes64c212.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6824954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked No44c208.94$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.931758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb3…dd2dbacked Yes60c165.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.743030%9 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bbe…41afbacked Yes61c163.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…2ec2backed No46c161.85$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+201.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f0…672bbacked Yes60c151.41$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09b4…494bbacked No45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.52642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Yes55c132.14$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.466541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes64c128.43$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2318641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6648961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked Yes55c113.83$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.226141%25 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed Yes60c109.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.35837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No37c108.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.281,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c66…01d0backed Yes56c103.68$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.623450%17 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b7…d5f3backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012544.8%56 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94ce…edf2backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.55552.7%29 W · 26 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+94.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f0b…28b0backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed No44c97.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.758041.3%33 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd3…36c5backed Yes55c84.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.931747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b0…acdebacked Yes60c79.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.084731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa497…c351backed Yes64c75.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ff…879cbacked Yes63c74.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.628932.6%29 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2db…ffcbbacked No54c72.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.896142.6%26 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9b…77b6backed Yes64c71.4$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x907c…23c1backed Yes65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8919…d64ebacked No44c57.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9341…d75fbacked Yes61c53.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No36c52.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0866239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes52c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.117249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed Yes64c46.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.763850%19 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes62c45.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1814739.5%58 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad64…50a7backed Yes65c45.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5e…7761backed Yes55c41.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.554136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cff…be62backed No54c41.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.151533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea25…2a4fbacked No35c40.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1750%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.916646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ee…1b59backed Yes63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed No33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311749.6%58 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.222550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes53c35.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.816333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed No33c33.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8611747%55 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked No46c31.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.494045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No43c29.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8842737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes54c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3419445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No49c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7416847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dd8…fb07backed No54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c0…1c64backed No45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed Yes51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7611256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48de…0c51backed Yes71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb073…54fbbacked Yes54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f3…3801backed No50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaab…b2fcbacked Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a4f…4cfebacked No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66a5…a1e3backed No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa012…2af7backed Yes64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick67cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0a6…5bdfbacked Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes55c18.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.321850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.