CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ec12bd23874a60ba96ccc614ec6a49e7d538702424bf7a6e0397141e95dca55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $655,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $729,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $655,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 639 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Monte | 37c | 67,104$24,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,967.6 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 64,154$40,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,206.84 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 55,000$34,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,349.93 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Monte | 36c | 40,000$14,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,549.97 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Monte | 7c | 35,466$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.63 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed Monte | 36c | 35,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 33,046$23,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,089.34 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 31,746$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,746.03 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 29,471$19,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,813.84 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Monte | 25c | 27,500$6,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,874.98 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed Monte | 32c | 23,816$7,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,695.44 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 22,500$14,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,324.99 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Monte | 30c | 20,000$6,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,064.89 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 19,844$12,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,143.75 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Monte | 38c | 18,600$7,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,003 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Monte | 36c | 11,080$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,013.2 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Monte | 35c | 10,129$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,545.05 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Monte | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.98 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 9,524$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.81 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Monte | 37c | 9,194$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.86 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Monte | 37c | 8,308$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.95 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Monte | 36c | 8,291$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.76 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Monte | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 7,813$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.5 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Monte | 37c | 7,777$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.44 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 6,376$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.31 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 6,231$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.15 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Monte | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Monte | 35c | 5,575$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.49 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Monte | 27c | 5,541$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…7e93backed Monte | 37c | 5,474$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 5,012$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.3 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.99 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.97 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 4,620$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Monte | 37c | 4,430$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.97 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…0c18backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 3,968$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.25 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Monte | 36c | 3,937$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.26 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Monte | 40c | 3,549$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.78 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Monte | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.97 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Monte | 23c | 3,436$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Monte | 4c | 3,297$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3856…19eabacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 3,250$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…a425backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 3,200$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 3,160$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 3,135$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.95 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…3e17backed Monte | 35c | 3,079$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 3,019$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.46 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked Monte | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Monte | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Monte | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.97 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Monte | 26c | 2,993$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Monte | 36c | 2,718$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.66 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Monte | 9c | 2,556$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Monte | 34c | 2,432$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.02 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 2,169$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.92 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Monte | 15c | 2,067$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…4ce9backed Monte | 31c | 2,029$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 2,017$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.12 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Monte | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.64 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Monte | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 1,918$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.33 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Monte | 37c | 1,750$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.48 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Monte | 17c | 1,691$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.66 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Monte | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,655$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.13 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed Monte | 32c | 1,636$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.21 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055d…245dbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Monte | 17c | 1,597$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.52 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked Monte | 37c | 1,588$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Monte | 16c | 1,567$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,549$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.45 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Monte | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 1,471$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.8 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…c111backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,466$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.1 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…69b3backed Monte | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Monte | 37c | 1,380$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.94 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Monte | 15c | 1,293$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Monte | 34c | 1,250$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,250$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Monte | 35c | 1,250$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Monte | 42c | 1,237$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.86 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,192$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.06 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Monte | 14c | 1,135$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.91 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x525b…c7c7backed Monte | 31c | 1,120$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Monte | 36c | 1,106$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,062$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.54 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Monte | 30c | 1,050$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Monte | 36c | 1,042$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Monte | 36c | 1,020$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.05 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Monte | 10c | 1,010$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…756bbacked Monte | 8c | 1,003$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Monte | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.01 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…afb0backed Monte | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked Monte | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.