CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e44ff28aba24a58183f8cf6b3719be1c3c48b594ce4a2cc6a4da753a9d2ecf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $520,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $547,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Monte | 41c | 85,389$35,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,391.43 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 26,046$14,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,691.94 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 25,462$13,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,656.77 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Monte | 38c | 19,632$7,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,542.62 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Monte | 46c | 16,951$7,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,805.59 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Monte | 44c | 13,959$6,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,141.93 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f8…4de0backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 9,502$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,465.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 8,301$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320.87 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 6,916$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.66 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 6,300$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.49 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Monte | 65c | 6,145$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Monte | 47c | 5,761$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 5,384$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.82 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 5,205$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.23 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 4,900$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 4,348$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.84 | 262 | 56.1%147 W · 115 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Monte | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.99 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Monte | 47c | 3,800$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.11 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 3,518$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.49 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Monte | 35c | 3,104$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Monte | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Monte | 42c | 2,814$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.22 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…4441backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 2,717$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 2,095$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.64 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,964$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.43 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,941$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.68 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…3e47backed Monte | 60c | 1,778$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.8 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked Monte | 25c | 1,722$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.28 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,648$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.25 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 1,617$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.21 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,573$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.25 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Monte | 45c | 1,550$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.01 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Monte | 46c | 1,523$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.45 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,419$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.24 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Monte | 30c | 1,281$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 1,258$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.51 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Monte | 47c | 1,235$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.28 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Monte | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.84 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Monte | 46c | 1,196$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Monte | 41c | 1,148$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.19 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Monte | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Monte | 39c | 1,076$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.26 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Monte | 20c | 1,022$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,020$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.73 | 489 | 39.7%194 W · 295 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,017$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.68 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Monte | 56c | 962.15$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.24 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 955.73$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.02 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 915.11$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 888$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.48 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Monte | 47c | 870.03$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.59 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Monte | 70c | 861.31$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.34 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 835.19$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.69 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…9bf9backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 781.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.52 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Monte | 70c | 749.12$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.38 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 686.79$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.79 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…735dbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 684.92$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Monte | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 643.4$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.88 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 623.77$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.7 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 610$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.74 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Monte | 45c | 605.51$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.35 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 599.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.58 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Monte | 46c | 557.41$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 550$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Monte | 43c | 534.88$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Monte | 49c | 524.37$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.53 | 389 | 50.4%196 W · 193 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 513.3$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.12 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…abf6backed Monte | 34c | 510.1$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Monte | 51c | 508.88$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.27 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 507.02$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.23 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 500.1$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.05 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Monte | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Monte | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Monte | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Monte | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Monte | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 320 | 47.2%151 W · 169 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 481.79$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.54 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Monte | 18c | 479.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 479.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Monte | 45c | 478.85$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Monte | 30c | 463.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…b3a6backed Monte | 43c | 462.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 448.6$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.38 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…5943backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 414$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.61 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Monte | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 214 | 62.1%133 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Monte | 41c | 400$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…fa6dbacked Monte | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 399.74$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…779cbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 398.23$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Monte | 50c | 391.39$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 390$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Monte | 38c | 385.52$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.03 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04aa…2e69backed Monte | 44c | 380$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Monte | 51c | 369.28$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.06 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Monte | 48c | 363.09$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 380 | 49.5%188 W · 192 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.