CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39154a20f79186e5b1fa45950ff4114571c1239228b762462d892411e932fae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 53c | 1,433$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.36 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…8ca6backed Over | 47c | 1,376$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.8 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 54c | 1,132$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.76 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 45c | 750.94$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 48c | 699.94$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.97 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 54c | 691.8$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.23 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 55c | 672.25$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.38 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked Over | 46c | 447.52$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.86 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 54c | 421.58$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.93 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 46c | 378.1$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 45c | 303.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.74 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 297.87$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…8b45backed Over | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Over | 46c | 165.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x052f…5ef8backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 99.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 42c | 77.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 53c | 77.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 53c | 49.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 53c | 47.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 51.1%96 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 45c | 41.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 54c | 34.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 36c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8e…c750backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.