CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x858e06440ee4efd7969051b93924cca8466bf06ecbe967f6809d79587cc7a4aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 70,060$47,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,689.85 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Monte | 34c | 18,228$6,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,197.64 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Monte | 13c | 11,607$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.86 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Monte | 31c | 11,065$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430.26 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Monte | 32c | 10,862$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.32 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Monte | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.98 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Monte | 33c | 5,103$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.84 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Monte | 33c | 5,005$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.56 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Monte | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed Monte | 32c | 4,667$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.88 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…f510backed Monte | 32c | 3,970$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…253cbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 3,251$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.12 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Monte | 32c | 3,056$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.95 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Monte | 26c | 2,644$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.12 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Monte | 33c | 2,224$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.02 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Monte | 35c | 2,000$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.97 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…2fcbbacked Monte | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Monte | 33c | 1,839$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Monte | 37c | 1,823$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.9 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Monte | 29c | 1,803$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed Monte | 32c | 1,800$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 1,734$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.18 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 1,712$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Monte | 1c | 1,680$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Monte | 27c | 1,638$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.29 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Monte | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 1,436$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.54 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,434$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.46 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…ebcebacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 1,339$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Monte | 31c | 1,336$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.16 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 1,313$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.03 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Monte | 31c | 1,298$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.24 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Monte | 20c | 1,261$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.65 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Monte | 31c | 1,259$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.38 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Monte | 31c | 1,226$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.04 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Monte | 22c | 1,200$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Monte | 33c | 1,200$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Monte | 31c | 1,100$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4077…7434backed Monte | 7c | 941.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 934.53$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.91 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Monte | 31c | 839.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.39 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…756bbacked Monte | 15c | 800.39$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 777.8$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.87 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Monte | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Monte | 33c | 721.82$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 701.97$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.39 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Monte | 27c | 667.24$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.23 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Monte | 25c | 660.23$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…d246backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 641.5$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.96 | 263 | 68.8%181 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 624.65$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.38 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Monte | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…5943backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Monte | 32c | 561$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.52 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 555$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Monte | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked Monte | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Monte | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 172 | 54.1%93 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Monte | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Monte | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Monte | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Monte | 32c | 462.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Monte | 14c | 450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Monte | 37c | 433.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Monte | 32c | 425.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.37 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 406.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Monte | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 398.74$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 389.46$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Monte | 31c | 360$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 143 | 63.6%91 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 316.09$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 316.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Monte | 33c | 304.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Monte | 14c | 304.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…ffdebacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 296.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Monte | 37c | 290$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 283.9$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 259.93$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 259.46$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…8e0abacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 253.57$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 153 | 73.2%112 W · 41 L | +18.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6625…fef4backed Monte | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Monte | 32c | 249.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 249.38$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Monte | 28c | 248.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Monte | 20c | 224.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 224.3$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 220$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Monte | 32c | 216$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 214.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 198 | 57.6%114 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Monte | 29c | 203.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ad…e7c3backed Monte | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.