Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89d5af63854a6d8252ee3798e82212b780461d69e267d574f096f60eb35e91ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x077e…06d2backed No | 4c | 1,990$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 15c | 1,655$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 6c | 1,100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 6c | 1,082$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 74c | 601.83$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 4c | 600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 34c | 370$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.47 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 9c | 350.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 11c | 350$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 5c | 333.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 17c | 319$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 46c | 278$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 11c | 227.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfd…c364backed No | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 13c | 186.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 18c | 179.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 10c | 165.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 13c | 152.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 13c | 105.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 60c | 89.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 38c | 85.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 20c | 75.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 15c | 67.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 17c | 60.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…eba6backed No | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…b7f1backed No | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 26c | 50.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…ecc7backed No | 41c | 42.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…8ec6backed No | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b38abacked No | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…9180backed No | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…d3fbbacked No | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…025abacked No | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa552…3306backed No | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…3241backed No | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…f0fcbacked No | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…e987backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…cb5ebacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…9e4abacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Yes | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…7588backed Yes | 57c | 34.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 43c | 34.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…c6dabacked No | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…d361backed No | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8399…8afdbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?this page
- Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.50 in June?No won
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–$2.00 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.