World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbac6f5b629e309295f8d7bafcbf5db202b191013fda1362fbb5944937e042f64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 73c | 4,014$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.78 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…2cf2backed Yes | 72c | 3,832$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.78 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 38c | 1,686$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 58c | 1,616$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.27 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 44c | 1,516$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.72 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 46c | 1,227$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.3 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 40c | 958.63$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.78 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 50c | 898.56$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.83 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked Yes | 50c | 898.16$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…0d37backed Yes | 51c | 535.43$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.45 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 16c | 500$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 37c | 468.43$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed Yes | 50c | 450.12$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 48c | 434.27$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.36 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 39c | 350$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Yes | 60c | 315$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…494bbacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…2a3ebacked Yes | 48c | 298.73$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 45c | 278.89$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 40c | 276.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 63c | 274$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 39c | 266.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 40c | 220$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 59c | 210$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 9c | 193.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…c82fbacked No | 40c | 191.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9054…d26fbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 62c | 182.28$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8919…d64ebacked No | 55c | 176.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed24…3b45backed No | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 16c | 174$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…fd31backed No | 49c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…7383backed No | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 41c | 147$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 56c | 144.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…6857backed No | 61c | 140$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 31c | 136.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 35c | 135.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…95ddbacked No | 35c | 124.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 123.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 45c | 122.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 61c | 122.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 15c | 116.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c8…c0fabacked Yes | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 49c | 107.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked No | 50c | 104.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…5322backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…55e1backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 49c | 91.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 60c | 87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 61c | 84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 16c | 83.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a6…f21fbacked Yes | 62c | 83.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…419cbacked No | 47c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…84efbacked Yes | 62c | 71.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…3431backed No | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…220bbacked Yes | 45c | 69.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed No | 43c | 68.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…ecc7backed Yes | 61c | 68.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 43c | 68.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 68c | 67.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 26c | 66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…c987backed Yes | 50c | 63.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 21c | 62.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 33c | 62.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…8a05backed Yes | 62c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 57c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…6b37backed Yes | 65c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…2a24backed Yes | 50c | 56.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 49c | 56.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 50c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…412bbacked Yes | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 54c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed No | 41c | 51.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…18d5backed Yes | 50c | 51.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…861bbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…2c17backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…17bbbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…9689backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…1491backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…923cbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…ec6fbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb1…09c8backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…78ccbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0799backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…99adbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?this page
- Will voter turnout be 52-56% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
- Will voter turnout be 64%+ in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.