Us Politics · resolved market
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bf3aa7d5186804e967e1e4737c896778f688e6dafdd0a1b659a4a07bf27d663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $531,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $493,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 19c | 19,000$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.22 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 12c | 16,318$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.08 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 14c | 14,000$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.81 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…8a2abacked Yes | 17c | 9,165$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 0c | 7,727$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…fc32backed Yes | 13c | 7,662$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 4c | 7,200$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +302.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 15c | 5,500$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.7 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 2c | 5,450$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 6c | 5,316$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.17 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 26c | 4,898$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 11c | 4,887$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.86 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…fbd7backed Yes | 0c | 4,510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…8c4fbacked Yes | 60c | 4,448$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed Yes | 12c | 4,259$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 16c | 4,055$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.88 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 24c | 3,776$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,742$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe75…c2b1backed Yes | 6c | 3,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6d…5453backed Yes | 14c | 3,457$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed Yes | 13c | 3,344$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.55 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 25c | 3,295$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 12c | 3,274$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.45 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 18c | 3,129$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.31 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…2325backed Yes | 13c | 3,086$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 11c | 3,080$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef2…b9ccbacked Yes | 3c | 2,907$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 76c | 2,754$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 23c | 2,456$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.7 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 13c | 2,400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…b679backed Yes | 14c | 2,398$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…5490backed Yes | 18c | 2,373$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,326$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c72…1243backed Yes | 12c | 2,281$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 2,127$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…a4dbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,057$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 17c | 2,006$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked No | 78c | 2,004$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…a568backed Yes | 14c | 1,845$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…ea5dbacked No | 29c | 1,837$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 22c | 1,835$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.53 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed No | 80c | 1,822$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.39 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 13c | 1,686$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 42c | 1,598$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 8c | 1,552$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 9c | 1,551$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cd…0aa9backed No | 79c | 1,520$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 28c | 1,375$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.93 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 27c | 1,375$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 1,372$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…03a1backed Yes | 23c | 1,349$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes | 14c | 1,326$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 6c | 1,304$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 16c | 1,300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 1,276$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 6c | 1,260$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed No | 73c | 1,249$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 16c | 1,246$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 17c | 1,240$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.39 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,199$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 17c | 1,191$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 29c | 1,108$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.18 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,064$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,054$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 20c | 1,048$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,042$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 28c | 1,014$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 1,008$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…6609backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +415.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 10c | 999.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 21c | 996.48$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 10c | 900$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 27c | 876.28$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.42 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 68c | 873.84$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.42 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…8387backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 13c | 811.32$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…dd79backed Yes | 30c | 800.63$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed No | 77c | 799.99$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba7…4782backed Yes | 9c | 785.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…4a03backed Yes | 15c | 712.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…7965backed Yes | 11c | 709.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 8c | 709.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 13c | 707.16$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…32aabacked Yes | 15c | 695.27$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 7c | 694.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 36c | 694.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes | 26c | 650$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…92a7backed Yes | 10c | 627$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked Yes | 14c | 624.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 76c | 617.79$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 15c | 599.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 7c | 596.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 594.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Epstein suicide note released by May 31?this page
- Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.