Tennis · resolved market
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f5bb674f7976e7357d14b6e6798e8353f9aef40cb59cda1cb1a0c13d86ba2b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Yes | 1c | 28,716$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.26 | 119 | 19.3%23 W · 96 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 1c | 26,416$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.87 | 116 | 3.4%4 W · 112 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Yes | 2c | 21,913$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.66 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 1c | 21,221$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.06 | 103 | 18.4%19 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 20,404$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.97 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Yes | 1c | 17,500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 2c | 16,635$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes | 1c | 10,795$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 1c | 9,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Yes | 4c | 8,338$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…4ddcbacked Yes | 3c | 8,164$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.06 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 8,161$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 226 | 23.9%54 W · 172 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…910cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,458$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd495…7752backed Yes | 3c | 7,389$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…3b70backed Yes | 2c | 7,172$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…476dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,690$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff1b…5dfdbacked Yes | 2c | 4,516$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,156$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 4,035$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Yes | 2c | 3,857$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,700$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…daf8backed Yes | 1c | 3,333$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 1c | 3,161$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 1c | 3,094$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 2,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -87%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…e22dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,202$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,190$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 57 | 1.8%1 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Yes | 2c | 2,159$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66dc…8445backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…15d6backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b90…b70dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,749$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…99e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,748$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff2…38edbacked Yes | 1c | 1,651$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda2…98aebacked Yes | 2c | 1,580$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…4bc8backed Yes | 1c | 1,580$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…4622backed Yes | 2c | 1,461$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,423$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 299 | 53.5%160 W · 139 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad49…61f4backed Yes | 1c | 1,338$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…ffe0backed Yes | 2c | 1,312$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb099…3560backed Yes | 2c | 1,203$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 2c | 1,002$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 57 | 3.5%2 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…76cebacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b5…adbbbacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…da07backed Yes | 1c | 993.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Yes | 2c | 836.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4c…2042backed Yes | 2c | 699.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 678.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Yes | 2c | 608.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…b3d7backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…aae2backed Yes | 3c | 446.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…969fbacked Yes | 2c | 419.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?this page
- Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes won
- Will Alexei Popyrin win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Martin Landaluce win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Reilly Opelka win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.