TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$314,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,170 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c71,000$142 inLost-$14210221.6%22 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes1c42,614$280 inLost-$2804816.7%8 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes1c24,695$137 inLost-$137.161163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c23,664$59 inLost-$58.8922723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes0c15,988$48 inLost-$47.9610318.4%19 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes0c9,276$34 inLost-$34.03267.7%2 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes0c8,000$32 inLost-$32244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes1c7,287$44 inLost-$43.8510622.6%24 W · 82 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c5,954$20 inLost-$19.77521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-95.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Yes1c4,821$26 inLost-$25.772020%4 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes0c4,735$13 inLost-$12.67195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-87%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes0c4,120$13 inLost-$12.9647453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes0c3,420$12 inLost-$11.72287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes0c3,168$15 inLost-$1527739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b51…9144backed Yes0c2,447$12 inLost-$11.78128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-87.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fe…7061backed Yes0c2,250$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a62…8b90backed Yes0c2,250$11 inLost-$1150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes1c2,076$12 inLost-$12.4680%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes1c2,070$11 inLost-$10.97828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes1c2,000$11 inLost-$1152750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3441…3283backed Yes1c2,000$11 inLost-$1140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32fe…eb6fbacked Yes1c1,971$10 inLost-$101020%2 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.