Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e7a0f66cf4b08da8549ff4022083d6503bad494d4524cbde510db4df883a069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f05…a70fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,136$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 12c | 2,496$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.91 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 1c | 1,586$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 7c | 1,359$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 12c | 1,129$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 3c | 1,112$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 2c | 901.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 10c | 622.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14da…0af1backed Yes | 15c | 607.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 3c | 565.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 77c | 477.79$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 38c | 455.7$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.28 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 5c | 384.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 75c | 328.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 78c | 321.3$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…35e3backed Yes | 30c | 320.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 310$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 73c | 307.93$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe16…d380backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 28c | 279.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 10c | 249.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 22c | 240.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 7c | 238.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…441dbacked Yes | 27c | 216.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 27c | 201.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 199$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad2…9403backed Yes | 30c | 193.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 18c | 190.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 13c | 174.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 19c | 170.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 80c | 170$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…ce36backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 17c | 149.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06d…ac24backed Yes | 36c | 140.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbad0…a6e2backed Yes | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 28c | 129.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 68c | 125.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…451abacked Yes | 17c | 112.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 39c | 111.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 13c | 108.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 24c | 107.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 14c | 102.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…43a8backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 76c | 99.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 15c | 98.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 72c | 88.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 70c | 87.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…8239backed No | 80c | 84.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 23c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 25c | 79.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 78c | 79.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 75c | 78.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 30c | 76.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 17c | 75.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked Yes | 28c | 58.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 276 | 48.6%134 W · 142 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 77c | 57.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 68c | 55.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 78c | 54.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed0…25afbacked Yes | 39c | 51.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…e304backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…d090backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…b2f0backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…debfbacked No | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked Yes | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 40c | 49.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…e5babacked No | 68c | 47.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked Yes | 23c | 47.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…90d9backed Yes | 30c | 46.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 71c | 43.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…3e28backed Yes | 39c | 42.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 31c | 38.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 33c | 38.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…bf12backed Yes | 28c | 35.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…cbf7backed Yes | 33c | 35.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 71c | 34.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…7ef6backed No | 66c | 31.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 116 | 70.7%82 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…caabbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 80c | 27.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 73c | 25.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e9…15dcbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…e572backed No | 76c | 22.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 72c | 20.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 74c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…a7f9backed No | 74c | 15.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.