TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7248…90d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Weather, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 54 out of 100; worst Cricket at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT5865.5%38 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or higher on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+62%+$18.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$4.63
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78%+$15.6
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$23.55
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.53
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$42.03
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.93
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96%+$38.4
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$20.69
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+252.8%+$96.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$27.06
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$95.79
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$12.63
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+26%+$2.6
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.5
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.36
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$10.54
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$12.56
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$16.53
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.12
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+266.4%+$34.96
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lankabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$33.63
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad Unitedbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$11.49
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.35
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.