Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b83f49aa5dc907a06890278461707c3e50b027f69b3d5c74cec621c868fbede
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 2c | 4,540$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 45c | 1,042$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.99 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…ae10backed Yes | 56c | 982.95$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 36c | 879.25$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.69 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 5c | 817.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…e5babacked No | 53c | 691.93$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.31 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 18c | 682.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 48c | 675$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.79 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 47c | 471.3$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 50c | 398.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.99 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…38b3backed Yes | 45c | 393.05$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 63c | 383.31$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.37 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 46c | 366.54$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.45 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 35c | 344.33$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.58 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 49c | 328$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.77 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 38c | 309.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d8…ccf3backed Yes | 69c | 295.04$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 54c | 264.7$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 8c | 259.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…0c07backed Yes | 66c | 241.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 46c | 222.09$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 57c | 211.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 36c | 211.28$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 54c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 19c | 198.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 38c | 191.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 53c | 184.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 16c | 184.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 44c | 184.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34d…41f0backed Yes | 55c | 170.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 62c | 165$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…5f49backed Yes | 61c | 163.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 24c | 163$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…0654backed Yes | 53c | 160.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 45c | 160$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 11c | 158.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…58f9backed No | 11c | 155.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 10c | 152$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 36c | 146.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 35c | 137.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14da…0af1backed No | 29c | 135.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 52c | 135.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 77c | 131.88$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 25c | 130.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…35e3backed No | 30c | 129.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 127.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 51c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…fa4fbacked Yes | 46c | 116.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed No | 13c | 115.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 49c | 111.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 43c | 103.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 48c | 102.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 51c | 101.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…64f0backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…9962backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…43a8backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…8151backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed No | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 173 | 10.4%18 W · 155 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 37c | 96.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Yes | 51c | 95.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed Yes | 49c | 94.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 29c | 93.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…36f6backed Yes | 60c | 93.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked No | 17c | 90.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9980…a036backed Yes | 51c | 88.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8850…d68dbacked No | 57c | 86.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c52…1411backed No | 12c | 85.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 62c | 85.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…e69bbacked Yes | 47c | 84.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd662…aeb5backed Yes | 65c | 84.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676c…20bfbacked Yes | 76c | 82.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 27c | 80.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 49c | 71.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…914bbacked Yes | 46c | 69.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 43c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6954…80f6backed Yes | 79c | 63.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…56d1backed No | 24c | 62.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 46c | 62.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 50c | 61.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 49c | 60.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b19…462bbacked Yes | 40c | 60.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…e1c7backed Yes | 33c | 59.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 37c | 58.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 41c | 58.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 55c | 56.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed No | 72c | 55.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on May 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.