Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71844c1c736200c34331be5a7b3b602bcd2a9859a1cf38e8d573b37a1bef6f1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc713…f0bcbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 9c | 3,015$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.34 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 12c | 2,092$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.46 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 76c | 1,141$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.84 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 1,047$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.5 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 15c | 969.23$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 42c | 881.18$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.52 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…a268backed Yes | 18c | 818.62$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 25c | 732.49$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.61 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 30c | 707.32$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.34 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 19c | 700$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 15c | 648.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 57c | 460.12$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.39 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 13c | 450$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 79c | 411.18$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 77c | 396.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 333.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 23c | 324.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 18c | 319.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 20c | 312.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…0c07backed Yes | 13c | 305.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 279$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 12c | 274$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…5263backed Yes | 9c | 273.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…35e3backed Yes | 29c | 260.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5da…27b7backed Yes | 36c | 254.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 61c | 253.32$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 75c | 248.26$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 74c | 244.7$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 14c | 225.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 29c | 224.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…58f9backed Yes | 7c | 217.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 7c | 215$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 18c | 205$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 35c | 201.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 201$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…0654backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…1316backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 15c | 195.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 10c | 193.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 23c | 192.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…b978backed Yes | 16c | 188.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 183.65$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad0…a6e2backed Yes | 21c | 170.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 18c | 169.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 167$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 11c | 162.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 38c | 154.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 13c | 151.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…e69bbacked Yes | 28c | 141.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 13c | 131.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 131$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 16c | 126.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 77c | 125.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 22c | 124.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 122$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 29c | 121.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 26c | 120.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed Yes | 13c | 119.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…f4d3backed Yes | 9c | 118$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 247 | 70%173 W · 74 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…45efbacked Yes | 34c | 115.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 28c | 112.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 23c | 108$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 106.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 66c | 105.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 72c | 102.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 11c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…64f0backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…ab29backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 10.4%18 W · 155 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…8151backed Yes | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 25c | 99.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed Yes | 29c | 96.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14da…0af1backed Yes | 35c | 96.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b9…3d3bbacked Yes | 21c | 93.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 38c | 91.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…81eebacked Yes | 19c | 91.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…903dbacked Yes | 17c | 90.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed No | 65c | 90.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 57c | 89.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc2…0018backed Yes | 46c | 86.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 60c | 83.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 79.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…727bbacked Yes | 28c | 79.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 76.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes | 26c | 74.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 79c | 73.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…478abacked Yes | 33c | 69.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 18c | 67.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 34c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 76c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 74c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…0bfbbacked Yes | 33c | 58.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 57.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 78c | 56.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 46c | 56.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on May 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.