TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x901f…64f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT13133.6%44 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+35%+$4.85
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$3.8
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+34%+$3.66
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$5.3
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$17.35
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.42
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$22.3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$26.2
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.7
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.