MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5960651e1df7e4e572e7507259e9a014488de019363c9d669fb1f82122db2c18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 48c | 3,620$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.25 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 52c | 988.01$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.76 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 893.5$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.62 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 45c | 364.55$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 280.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 44c | 245.44$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.44 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 52c | 89.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 47c | 87.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 51c | 32.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 47c | 22.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…64f0backed Under | 57c | 19.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.