MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfe9b976507656e7207a282da72985b7581e3ea12afe5e297703406d03d059aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 2,345$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.36 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 2,257$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.67 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,708$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.96 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 1,465$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.97 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,120$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.94 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 991.2$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.43 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 946.75$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.58 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 927.07$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.7 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 845.27$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.27 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 746.61$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.88 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 699.8$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.28 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 609.02$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.31 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 605.18$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.11 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 568.84$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.73 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 563.26$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.57 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 534.64$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.91 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 390.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.46 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 352.65$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 323.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.18 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 312.93$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.84 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 307.19$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 287.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 284.89$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.23 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 277.76$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 214.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 192.07$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 164.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 144.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Angels | 75c | 140.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 140.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 124.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 116.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 113.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 112.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 106.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 106.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 101.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 95.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 94.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 93.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 91.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 89.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…ad43backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 86.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 84.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 81.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 69.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 62.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 57.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 57.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 50.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…b78dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 41.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 38.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 38.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…47a9backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 31.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 26.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 22.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…e51cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.