MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bb27bb27dfdcf63850a683f3b4f4b358218aec660139b2e05bb6aaa8d5ffda6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 48c | 5,660$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.89 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 47c | 4,028$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.78 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 40c | 1,972$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.09 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Under | 54c | 1,808$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.26 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 54c | 1,685$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.92 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,590$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 52c | 1,082$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.38 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 1,040$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.2 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 1,034$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.69 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Under | 58c | 1,018$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.73 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 6c | 895.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 53c | 888$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.64 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 53c | 874.62$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.55 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 63c | 776.03$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 46c | 688.65$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.87 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 606.71$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.55 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 523.33$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 31c | 453.25$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.34 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 432.85$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.74 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 416.67$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.67 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 54c | 365.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 53c | 302.23$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.18 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 46c | 299.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 47c | 242.42$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 52c | 220.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…cfafbacked Under | 53c | 208.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…c3c1backed Over | 47c | 205.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 185$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 47c | 154.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 53c | 128.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 78c | 125.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 52c | 115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 54c | 97.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 40c | 94.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 93.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 27c | 92.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 92.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 48c | 91.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 53c | 71.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 55c | 59.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Under | 74c | 58.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 40c | 57.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 54c | 46.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 33c | 45.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 48c | 45.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed Under | 76c | 45.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 45.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 46c | 41.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Under | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 47c | 32.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 47c | 28.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 45c | 24.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 23.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 48c | 23.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 55c | 20.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.